* The Companhia Nacional do Abastecimento (Conab), the logistics arm of Brazil’s agriculture ministry, has released the first estimate for 2023 coffee harvest, predicting that Brazil’s coffee producers will collect 54.94m sacks of coffee this year (one sack = 60kg). This marks a 7.9% increase from the last year’s coffee yield. Coffee production often alternates between one year of high yield and then a drop the following year, and 2023 should have been a negative biennial year. This forecasted rise in production indicates that 2023 could be the first instance that the biennial cycle is broken in Brazil, since Conab began records in 2001. The total land area allocated for growing coffee in 2023 for the two most-grown coffee types (arabica and robusta) will be approximately 2.26m hectares, which marks a 0.8% increase from available land in 2022. The president of Conab
Guilherme Ribeiro also attributed the predicted rise in production to
“technological developments”. The expected increase in 2023 comes after two years of relatively low yields, which Conab believes had been caused by adverse climate conditions, such as periods of drought aggravated by the La Niña weather phenomenon.
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