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Trump’s new Cuba policy: tough talk, soft substance
US President Donald Trump presented an eagerly anticipated foreign policy speech on Cuba on 16 June in Miami. Trump sought to ratchet up the pressure on the Cuban government led by President Raúl Castro, and rhetorically he did just that. His scathing attack on the Cuban Revolution was reminiscent of the previous Republican administration under President George W Bush in style, which played well to Cuban-American hardliners, but in substance it was different. Despite his assertion that he was ending the “terrible and misguided” policy of his predecessor Barack Obama, Trump is only unpicking certain aspects of it. Much of it will remain unchanged. But style matters, and the Cuban government’s combative response suggests the diplomatic rapprochement is on hold, although there was probably considerable relief in Havana that Trump did not go further.
Mexico’s inflation on the rise: something to worry about?
Mexico’s annual inflation rate rose to 6.17% in May, the highest in over eight years. On 18 May, before the inflation data was released, the Banco de Mexico (Banxico, central bank) had again tightened interest rates, raising the benchmark rate by 25bps to 6.75%. Analysts are divided as to whether this is part of a worrying vicious circle or whether it is no more than a passing spike in an economy that is otherwise showing signs of resilience.
Northern Triangle: new security initiatives?
The Conference on Prosperity and Security in Central America, co-sponsored by the United States and Mexico, was held in Miami from 15-16 June, and designed to pull together a coordinated strategy against crime, drug trafficking, and illegal immigration flows coming out of the ‘Northern Triangle’ countries of Central America (El Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala). Here we look at what was said and whether it will make a difference.
Temer overcomes major threat to his presidency
This month, Brazil’s embattled President Michel Temer has been forced to defend his right to rule following a barrage of corruption allegations. “Oust me if you must”, cried a defiant Temer, but “I will not resign”. So far, his gambit appears to have paid off. On 6 June, Temer was acquitted by justices from Brazil’s supreme electoral court (TSE), increasing the chances that he will see out his term ending next year. But with more lawsuits against him on the horizon, the president’s seat is not yet safe.
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