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Mexico & Nafta - 15 July 2003

The gubernatorial elections

The gubernatorial elections in two states, Sonora and Campeche, were still too close to call almost a week after the polls closed. The Partido Revolucionario Institucional is claiming victory in Sonora. Its candidate Eduardo Bours, who is at odds with the last PRI governor, Manlio Fabio Beltrones, was awarded a narrow victory over the panista, Ramón Corral, on 12 July. This means that the arcane machinery of the Sonoran congress picking the victor did not have to be cranked up: Sonora is rare amongst states in still giving the state congress the right to settle disputed elections. 

In Campeche, a traditional prií­sta state, the party was split. The current governor, José Antonio González Curi, who has taken on the Sansores clan, which used to regard the state as its fief, imposed Jorge Carlos Hurtado as the PRI candidate. Lots of prií­stas did not like this and switched to supporting Juan Carlos del Rí­o, even though Layda Sansores was running on the Convergencia ticket. In the end, Hurtado won by less than one per cent. The PRD ran a prominent, disappointed, prií­sta, Alvaro Arceo, as its candidate. He has held every important job in the state government: except governor. 

The PRI's big defeat was in San Luis Potosí­. Here Marcelo de los Santos Fraga from the PAN just beat Luis Garcí­a Julián. The state has a noble tradition of political independence revolving around the Nava family. 

In Querétaro, the PRI failed to win with its well known candidate, Fernando Ortiz Arana, who also lost six years ago. The PAN candidate, Francisco Garrido, won comfortably. Six years ago, Ortiz Arana, who had held a series of prominent jobs, admitted he had been overconfident. He had also been damaged by a spoiling campaign (and candidacy) from his brother, José. 

In Colima, a small and unimportant state, the PRI won easily, despite some splits. 

The PRI's big victory was in Nuevo León where the loser six years ago, José Natividad González Parás, trounced the PAN candidate, Mauricio Fernández. The interesting point in Nuevo León, as in Sonora, is that the big two parties squeezed the third down into single figures.

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