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Weekly Report - 04 April 2012 (WR-12-14)

PARAGUAY: The challenge of topsy-turvy growth

Wild fluctuations in economic growth from year to year in Paraguay are providing real challenges for budget planners and government policymaking. Paraguay posted real GDP growth of 3.8% in 2011, the central bank announced last week. In 2010 GDP growth reached an extraordinary 15% year-on-year, but this followed fast on the heels of a heavy contraction of 3.8% in 2009. There are warnings of another dramatic slowdown in 2012, which could create real difficulties given the propensity of sitting governments to increase spending ahead of presidential and congressional elections, the next of which will be staged in April 2013.

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