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LatinNews Daily - 23 June 2008

Tarija votes for autonomy in Bolivia

Significance: Home to 85% of Bolivia's natural gas reserves, Tarija is the fourth and final department to hold a vote on autonomy. The support for autonomy is not a surprise. Final results are scheduled to be released on 25 June, but two TV channels, ATB and Unitel put the “yes" vote at between 79% and 80% and the “no" vote at between 19.7% and 21%. The TV channels reckoned that abstention at 34.8%, was the lowest registered in the four departments that have held autonomy referendums. The other three departments to hold referendums were Santa Cruz, Beni and Pando. Together with Tarija, these departments form the Media Luna bloc.

As in the other votes President Evo Morales and the federal government pointed to high abstention levels as evidence of the autonomists' failure. In Tarija Morales flagged up the irregularity of voter lists and large number of people excluded from the electoral register. He said this was an attempt to reduce abstention levels and his spokesperson, Iván Canelas, claimed that if the number of voters excluded from the current lists was added to those who did not turn out to vote, abstention levels were over 55%.

Squabbles over voter lists were concentrated particularly in the towns of Bermejo and Yacuiba, capital of Tarija's Gran Chaco province. Yacuiba in particular had proved a recent source of problems for Tarija prefect, Mario Cossí­o last week after local leaders threatened to take action if he failed to recognise elections held in the city to choose a deputy prefect and departmental councilor. The Gran Chaco autonomists want to form a 10th department in the country, and so split from the rest of Tarija. The new Chaco department would take in the Chaco areas in the   neighbouring departments of Chuquisaca and Santa Cruz.  

Under the catchy slogan “autonomous Bolivia and not only the Media Luna", prefect of Cochabamba, Manfred Reyes Villa and Aydeé Nava, mayor of Chuquisaca's capital, Sucre, travelled to Tarija to support Cossí­o and declared that Cochabamba and Chuquisaca would be holding similar votes. Chuquisaca is currently without a prefect, after David Sánchez, an ally of the Morales's Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS) party resigned last November. The department is due to hold elections to select a new prefect on 29 June.

The four Media Luna departments all voted for increased autonomy in the July 2006 national referendum on autonomy, but Chuquisaca and Cochabamba both voted no. The government argued that the national, not departmental, result was what counted and claimed that this meant that there was no basis for increasing departmental autonomy.

The Chuquisaca election will be a leading indicator for the main political event of the next few months. This is the recall referendum on 10 August which will either confirm Morales and the country's nine prefects in office or remove them.
The opposition prefects who face a much stiffer challenge than Morales does to hang on to their jobs are becoming increasingly hostile to the recall vote. The irony is that the recall referendum was revived and supported by the national opposition party, Podemos. It is also a legal vote, approved by both congress and the Corte Nacional Electoral, unlike the autonomy referendums.

On 22 June national daily La Razón published declarations by the so-called national democratic council (Conalde), an entity formed by the opposition prefects, expressing disagreement with the recall vote, on the basis that it would not resolve the country's political crisis. The latest opinion poll by Ipsos Apoyo, Opinión y Mercado showed that most Bolivians continue to express support for Morales, with 55% of respondents approving of the president's performance, up one point since April.

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