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Weekly Report - 10 April 2025 (WR-25-14)

ECUADOR: Dead heat as campaigns close

Campaigning is over ahead of the second round of Ecuador’s presidential elections on 13 April, with polls predicting a knife-edge result. The last major survey ahead of the election, published on 4 April by local pollster Comunicaliza, put the two candidates in a technical tie, with President Daniel Noboa narrowly ahead of his left-wing rival Luisa González. Security remains the most salient issue as the murder of five prison guards underscored the threat posed by gangs and Noboa moved closer to signing an agreement with the US private security firm Constellis (formerly Blackwater).

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