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LatinNews Daily - 6 September 2024

In brief: Analysts cut Argentina’s 2024 inflation forecast

*Argentina’s central bank (BCRA) has reported that in its latest survey of market expectations (REM), private analysts have revised down their inflation forecast for 2024 to 122.9%, a decrease of 4.75 percentage points from the forecast made in the previous (July) survey. The analysts also forecast monthly inflation of 3.9% in August 2024, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous estimate. However, September’s inflation is projected at 3.5%, down 0.2 percentage points from July’s predictions. Official data shows that Argentina’s monthly inflation rate stood at 4.0% in July, bringing the annual rate to 263.4%. In the REM, analysts also forecast GDP to decline by 3.8% in 2024 compared to 2023, with a recovery forecast to begin in the third quarter of this year.

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