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Weekly Report - 15 August 2024 (WR-24-32)

NICARAGUA: Relations with Brazil hit low point

President Daniel Ortega has expelled Brazil’s ambassador to Managua, Breno de Souza Brasil Dias da Costa, prompting Brazil’s government led by leftist President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva to reciprocate. Reportedly sparked by Da Costa’s absence from an event held in Managua last month to mark the 45th anniversary of the overthrow of the Somoza dictatorship (1936-1979), the spat lays bare a growing rift between the two countries. This emerged last year after Lula, initially reluctant to condemn Ortega’s ruthless crackdown on dissent, appeared critical of Managua’s treatment of Nicaraguan bishop Rolando Álvarez, arrested in 2022 and exiled this year [WR-24-03]. The souring of ties underlines the Frente Sandinista de Liberación Nacional (FSLN) government’s increasing isolation, and exposes divisions between the region’s two ‘lefts’ – authoritarian governments like Nicaragua, Cuba and Venezuela, and more progressive democratic administrations, with which Lula is identified. Cracks have notably emerged over the recent Venezuelan election [WR-24-31].

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