Latin American Security & Strategic Review
Security & Strategic Review - November 2024
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- Violence and crime mark Brazil’s local elections
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- COLOMBIA: Military campaign advances in the south-west
- PERU: Transport workers demand action on extortion
- ECUADOR: New firearms law approved by congress
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- CHILE: Carabineros chief faces reckoning over alleged brutality
- PARAGUAY: Civil society raises alarm over NGO oversight bill
MEXICO & USMCA
- MEXICO: Militarisation concerns as national guard reform becomes law
- MEXICO: Gov’t addresses Sinaloa violence
- MEXICO: Spain spat marks Sheinbaum’s early days
- MEXICO: Anti-corruption ministry unveiled
CENTRAL AMERICA
- GUATEMALA: Judicial election draws concern
- EL SALVADOR: New supreme court appointments raise eyebrows
- HONDURAS: Killing of prominent activist reignites familiar concerns
- NICARAGUA: Spain offers citizenship to Nicaraguans stripped of nationality
CARIBBEAN
- HAITI: Reality and rhetoric far apart
- REGION: Stepping up the struggle against sargassum
Ahead of the first round of Brazil’s municipal elections on 6 October, the president of the superior electoral court (TSE), Cármen Lúcia Antunes Rocha, warned that criminal organisations were trying to “shape our laws”.
Security & Strategic Review - October 2024
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- Honduras-US ties fray amid drug trafficking accusations
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- COLOMBIA: ELN peace plan teeters on the brink
- ECUADOR: ‘Metástasis’ investigation tackles infiltration of judiciary
- REGION: Fires rage across the Andean region
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- CHILE: Corruption scandal hits top court and political establishment
- BRAZIL: Government settles decades-long quilombola land dispute
- BRAZIL: Gangs supplied by licenced gun owners
- PARAGUAY: Peña boosts spending for policing
MEXICO & USMCA
- MEXICO: Insecurity – López Obrador’s unsavoury legacy
- MEXICO: Sedena, Semar heads unveiled
- MEXICO: Lime workers strike amid extortion concerns
CENTRAL AMERICA
- PANAMA: Mulino’s hard line on immigrants faces big challenges
- REGION: Coca cultivation on the rise
CARIBBEAN
- DOMINICAN REPUBLIC: Abinader to use strong mandate to push constitutional reform
- TRINIDAD & TOBAGO: Making the case for constitutional reform
Strained relations between Honduras and Washington further deteriorated at the end of August, when President Xiomara Castro ordered the cancellation of a longstanding extradition treaty with the US.
Security & Strategic Review - September 2024
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- Maduro clings to power in Venezuela
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- COLOMBIA: EMC fractures in major blow to ‘total peace’ plan
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- CHILE: Capital region shaken by violent crime wave
- BRAZIL: Armed cattle ranchers attack indigenous communities
- ARGENTINA: Scandal shines spotlight on domestic abuse
MEXICO & USMCA
- MEXICO: El Mayo arrest shrouded in mystery
- MEXICO: Business community rocked by violence
- MEXICO: Insecurity drives displacement in Chiapas
CENTRAL AMERICA
- NICARAGUA: Scaling up attacks on the Catholic Church
- COSTA RICA: Disruption of migrant trafficking network reveals challenges
- EL SALVADOR: NGOs launch registry of disappeared
- GUATEMALA: Moving on a key pledge
CARIBBEAN
- REGION: Gang violence focus of Caricom heads of government meeting
Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro seems to have secured himself a further six years in power following the disputed 28 July presidential election, but he has done so at the expense of all democratic legitimacy.
Security & Strategic Review - August 2024
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- Tough task ahead for Mexico’s incoming security minister
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- BOLIVIA: Coup attempt or political theatre?
- COLOMBIA: Deforestation falls to lowest level on record
- ECUADOR: Legal and illegal arms trafficking fuelling crime wave
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- BRAZIL: Debates over drug decriminalisation intensify
- BRAZIL: Historic drought worsens fires in Pantanal wetlands
- PARAGUAY: Government claims success against drug trafficking
- ARGENTINA: Child disappearance raises alarm on human trafficking
MEXICO & USMCA
- MEXICO: Synthetic drugs in the limelight
- MEXICO: Murder of industry leader puts spotlight on illegal fishing
- MEXICO: Partial progress in Pasta de Conchos search
CENTRAL AMERICA
- PANAMA: Mulino’s initial moves raise eyebrows
- NICARAGUA: US slams Ortega gov’t over illegal migration
- GUATEMALA: Murder of union leader reignites familiar concerns
- HONDURAS: Proposed prison draws criticism
CARIBBEAN
- GUYANA: Opposition struggling for unity with elections in sight
- REGION: Clear focus for investment needs at CIF 2024
On 4 July Mexico’s President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum announced that Omar García Harfuch would head up the public security ministry (SSPC) when she takes office on 1 October.
Security & Strategic Review - July 2024
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- Security hardliners toughen prison laws in Brazil
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- COLOMBIA: Surging violence forces security rethink
- VENEZUELA: Protests hit the prison system
- PERU: Congress rushes through a string of controversial bills
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- BRAZIL: Judiciary continues dismantling Lava Jato cases
- PARAGUAY: New justice minister inherits troubled legacy
- URUGUAY: Government expresses concern over homicides
MEXICO & USMCA
- MEXICO: Sheinbaum’s top security challenges
- MEXICO: Violence taints historic elections
CENTRAL AMERICA
- HONDURAS: Gov’t declares climate emergency
- EL SALVADOR: Rowing back on transitional justice
- NICARAGUA: More efforts to stamp out dissent
- PANAMA: First climate change migrants
CARIBBEAN
- HAITI: Mission impossible
- CARIBBEAN POINTERS
With crime often perceived by the public as a top concern in Brazil, legislators who back hardline security measures have made significant advances in congress.
Security & Strategic Review - June 2024
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- Doubts over Panamanian president-elect’s pledges
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- COLOMBIA: Rupture with Israel threatens military supplies
- ECUADOR: Narrower focus in second phase of security crackdown
- PERU: Anti-corruption unit facing mounting obstacles
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- BRAZIL: Floods highlight climate vulnerabilities and inequalities
- CHILE: Security concerns heighten over murdered Carabineros
- ARGENTINA: Attack on lesbian women highlights rising homophobic violence
MEXICO & USMCA
- MEXICO: Cracking down on migration
- MEXICO: High-profile tourist killings raise alarm
- MEXICO: Boosting ties with Cuba
CENTRAL AMERICA
- GUATEMALA: Arévalo touts progress in 100-day balance sheet, key pledge is pending
- NICARAGUA: Drawing closer to Moscow
CARIBBEAN
- HAITI: Health system’s collapse latest symptom of state failure
- JAMAICA: Government and opposition at odds over reform process
José Raúl Mulino, who served as Panama’s interior and security minister under right-wing former president Ricardo Martinelli (Cambio Democrático, CD, 2009-2014), won the 5 May presidential elections for Martinelli’s new outfit Realizando Metas (RM).
Security & Strategic Review - May 2024
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- Voters back militarisation of public security in Ecuador
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- COLOMBIA: The case against Uribe
- PERU: Shootdowns banned under new aerial interception policy
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- ARGENTINA: Foreign policy pivot presents boost to military
- BRAZIL: Web of corruption behind Marielle Franco’s murder
- CHILE: Government to boost cybersecurity efforts
MEXICO & USMCA
- MEXICO: Electoral violence looms large
- MEXICO: Water scarcity plagues CDMX, Edomex
- MEXICO: Amnesty reform unlikely to solve Ayotzinapa problems
CENTRAL AMERICA
- EL SALVADOR: State of exception passes two-year mark
- REGION: Wildfires draw concern
- HONDURAS: Authorities claim coca eradication progress
- NICARAGUA: Purge of judiciary continues
CARIBBEAN
- REGION: ‘Credible’ human rights issues widespread within Caricom
- REGION: Building agrifood trade between the Caribbean and Central America
- CARIBBEAN POINTER
The militarisation of Ecuadorean security policy which was ordered on an emergency basis in January is now set to be made permanent.
Security & Strategic Review - April 2024
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- Security as focus of Mexico’s presidential campaigns
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- COLOMBIA: Petro apologises for femicides in name of the state
- PERU: Can the return of a senate restore stability?
- ECUADOR: Emergency security measures yield mixed results
- VENEZUELA: Disaster renews focus on illegal mining
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- ARGENTINA: Authorities ramp up security presence in Rosario
- BRAZIL: Structural inequalities worsen dengue outbreak
- BRAZIL: Electoral court sets rules on artificial intelligence
- PARAGUAY: Calls for action against insecurity in Ciudad del Este
MEXICO & USMCA
- MEXICO: Local police under threat
- MEXICO: Lawlessness hits the highways
CENTRAL AMERICA
- HONDURAS: A long-awaited verdict
- NICARAGUA: FSLN further cements control
- PANAMA: Order to halt migrant aid raises eyebrows
- GUATEMALA: Addressing indigenous demands
CARIBBEAN
- JAMAICA: Opposition PNP makes progress
- GUYANA: UN Human Rights Committee has a look at Guyana
The official campaigning period for Mexico’s 2 June presidential elections began on 1 March.
Security & Strategic Review - March 2024
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- Brazil’s intelligence agency shaken by spying scandal
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- PERU/ECUADOR: Bukele’s first disciples
- ECUADOR: Tensions flare with Russia
- VENEZUELA/GUYANA: Troop deployments spark Guyanese concern
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- ARGENTINA: Milei deepens Israel ties, cools tensions with Pope
- CHILE: Land management practices fuel wildfires, experts warn
- PARAGUAY: Outrage over expulsion of opposition senator
MEXICO & USMCA
- MEXICO: López Obrador accused of DTO links
- MEXICO: Church joins fight against crime in Guerrero
- MEXICO: Progress in lawsuits against US arms industry
CENTRAL AMERICA
- GUATEMALA: Arévalo’s initial security moves
- EL SALVADOR: Election day marred by irregularities
- NICARAGUA: The right to asylum and citizenship?
CARIBBEAN
- DOMINICAN REPUBLIC: Plaudits for anti-corruption efforts
- TRINIDAD & TOBAGO: Ghost ship dumps oil
- REGION: Bahamas, Belize and Turks & Caicos removed from EU tax list
- HAITI: Political progress at last, but security still dire
The deputy director of Brazil’s national intelligence agency (Abin), Alessandro Moretti, was dismissed on 30 January for allegedly having maintained contact with the agency’s former director Alexandre Ramagem (2019-2022), whose properties were raided five days earlier.
Security & Strategic Review - February 2024
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- A new era in Guatemala as Arévalo takes over the reins
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- ECUADOR: Sweeping security reforms proposed following gang uprising
- PERU: Judicial independence under threat
- COLOMBIA: Petro requests international support to tackle wildfires
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- BRAZIL: Capital riots anniversary highlights threats to democracy
- ARGENTINA: New leadership of the armed forces
- ARGENTINA: NGOs warn environmental protection under threat
- CHILE: Global optimism, local concern over marine wildlife
MEXICO & USMCA
- MEXICO: Searching for Mexico’s disappeared
- MEXICO: Notimex allegations touch Sheinbaum
- MEXICO: Opposition denounces political violence
- MEXICO: Migrant kidnapping on the rise
CENTRAL AMERICA
- HONDURAS: Foot-dragging on CICIH draws concern
- NICARAGUA: Weakening the judiciary
CARIBBEAN
- JAMAICA/THE BAHAMAS: US raises travel warnings amid crime concerns
- REGION: EU presses for changes to CBI programmes
- CARIBBEAN POINTERS
Against all odds, anti-corruption reformer Bernardo Arévalo, who won a resounding victory in Guatemala’s 20 August election on the pledge to tackle the ‘pacto de corruptos’ network of institutional corruption [SSR-23-08], was finally sworn in as president last month.
Security & Strategic Review - January 2024
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- Risk of Venezuela-Guyana war decreases after emergency summit
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- COLOMBIA: Progress on kidnappings as peace plan moves forwards
- PERU: Government hardens stance on migration
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- CHILE: Voters reject conservative constitution proposal
- PARAGUAY-BRAZIL: Cross-border efforts against arms trafficking
- BRAZIL: Gender violence on the rise
- URUGUAY: Corruption allegations force cabinet reshuffle
MEXICO & USMCA
- MEXICO: Another well-timed arrest
- MEXICO: Avocados driving deforestation and crime
- MEXICO: Journalists under threat
- MEXICO: Educational performance slips
CENTRAL AMERICA
- COSTA RICA: Another record year of homicides
- HONDURAS: Questioning the impact of Castro’s state of exception
- PANAMA: Environmentalists hail ruling against key mine
- GUATEMALA: New supreme court elected after long delay
CARIBBEAN
- HAITI: A country seemingly without hope
- CARIBBEAN POINTERS
There were initial fears that an historic dispute between Venezuela and Guyana could escalate into military conflict following a 3 December Venezuelan referendum in which voters expressed support for the annexation of the oil-rich Essequibo region, which is claimed by Venezuela but lies within Guyana’s internationally recognised borders.