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Caribbean & Central America - December 2011 (ISSN 1741-4458)

ECONOMIC OVERVIEW: HONDURAS

President Lobo has partially defended the fusion of the defence and security portfolios on cost grounds. The 2012 budget is due before congress for final approval the week of 12-17 December. According to Deputy Guillermo Guillén of the ruling Partido Nacional, next year’s plan will come in at HNL144bn (approx. US$7.6bn), up from HNL133bn in 2011, with 80% funded via local sources and 20% from external sources, including donations. Guillén said that nearly all of the increased expenditure in 2012 is destined for teachers, with HNL1.1bn set aside for inflation-adjusted salary increases for the sector. Public sector salaries in Honduras are nearly equivalent to tax collection. Under the country’s stand-by program with the IMF, the government has committed to reducing budget deficit to 3.1% of GDP in 2011, from about 4.8% of GDP in 2010. The IMF expects real annual GDP growth of 3.5% in 2011. The index of economic activity compiled by the central bank rose 5.3% year-on-year in the first nine months of 2011, led by the financial sector (+15.9%).

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