LatinNews Daily - 08 December 2025

*Economic analysts surveyed by Citi México, a local financial group operated by US multinational investment bank and financial services corporation Citigroup Inc, have revised down their 2025 GDP growth forecast for Mexico from 0.5% to 0.4%, with estimates ranging from 0.1% to 0.6%. The analysts also decreased their forecast for 2026 GDP growth to 1.3%, down from 1.4% in the previous survey on 20 November. Headline inflation projections for 2025 were raised to 3.79%, up from 3.77% in the previous survey, while forecasts for the core component were held at 4.23%. Annual inflation stood at 3.57% in October, while the core rate was at 4.28%. The analysts also expect the central bank (Banxico) will cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points in its next monetary policy meeting, which is due on 18 December. This would mean the interest rate would end the year at 7.00%.

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