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Argentina
What do Milei’s first 100 days tell us?
In many senses the new president’s first 100 days are inconclusive. He has had some hits and some misses. His popularity ratings have dropped back a little but broadly speaking those who voted for him at the end of last year are continuing to support him so far this year. Milei’s political honeymoon period has been broadly predictable. In an attempt to focus more sharply on the options that lie ahead and, by way of conclusion, we will now discuss three possible scenarios for the rest of the Milei presidency. These are not hard and fast predictions, but a speculative exercise to tease out some of the ongoing issues.
- Javier Milei: profile of an outsider
- What’s the mandate? The 2023 elections
- Opinion polls harvest data on popular frustration
- A thousand reforms, but doubts over implementation
- Omnibus reform law placed on hold
- Provinces express concern over May Pact
- The other story – pleasing the markets
- Milei on the defensive over top salaries
- The crime issue
- Mixed picture from the pollsters
- Foreign policy: Milei’s shift to the right
- Compare and contrast: Milei and Noboa
- How deep is the pain?
- What do Milei’s first 100 days tell us?
- Scenario 1 A social explosion?
- Scenarios 2 Milei triumphant?
- Scenarios 3 The messy middle way