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Mexico & Nafta - April 2017 (ISSN 1741-444X)

Mexico’s key state of Edomex could be presidential bellwether

The campaign for Mexico’s three gubernatorial elections due on 4 June officially got underway on 3 April. The result of the elections in the main battleground, the Estado de México (Edomex), the country’s most populous state, could have a major impact on the outcome of the presidential elections in 2018, especially if the ruling Partido Revolucionario Institucional (PRI) is unseated for the first time in history. Opinion surveys suggest that the Edomex elections will be more closely contested than ever before with the PRI candidate, Alfredo del Mazo Maza, facing fierce competition from two rivals: Delfina Gómez Alvarez, the candidate of the radical left-wing Movimiento Regeneración Nacional (Morena); and Josefina Vázquez Mota, of the right-wing Partido Acción Nacional (PAN). Whichever party emerges triumphant will have laid down a key marker ahead of next year’s presidential race.

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