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LatinNews Regional Monitor: Andean Group - 30 March 2017

Moreno gains upper hand

Ecuadoreans are poised to vote in the closest presidential elections to be held in the country for over a decade. The momentum appears to be with Lenín Moreno, the candidate for the ruling left-wing Alianza País (AP), which has held sway under President Rafael Correa since 2007. If Moreno wins the second round on 2 April, he will enjoy a resounding (albeit shrunken) absolute majority in the national assembly. If Moreno’s rival Guillermo Lasso, of the centre-right opposition Movimiento Creo, emerges triumphant he would be constrained. Even if all of the opposition forces were to align, the AP would still call the shots, severely hampering Lasso’s governance.

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